HPI and house price statistics comparison

This guidance highlights the differences between the Scotland figures within the UK House Price Index (HPI) and our house price statistics.

For more information about how we compile our statistics, see our guidance notes.

A guidance document comparing different house price indices in the UK is available.

Summary

The table below provides an overview of the differences between the methodology and content of the HPI and RoS unadjusted statistics.

  House Price Index RoS House Price Statistics RoS Small Area Statistics
Links HPIHouse Price StatisticsOpen Data
Frequency of publication Monthly Monthly/ quarterly/ calendar year/ financial year Calendar year
Base data source House Price Index: Applications for registration of residential sales in the land register, plus house types derived using RoS methodology and base mapping data (Ordnance Survey ©Addressmap)
Date range of extraction Based on the date of entry to the property Based on the date the application is received for registration on the land register Based on the date the application is received for registration on the land register
Price Range All market value sales Medians: All market value sales Means: restricted to sales between £20k-£1m Medians: All market value sales Means: restricted to sales between £20k-£1m
Calculation of average price Geometric mean Medians and Arithmetic means Medians and Arithmetic means
Methodology Hedonic regression model to adjust for case mix unadjusted unadjusted
Seasonal adjustment Yes No No
Revisions 13-month cycle Whole series revised monthly, quarterly, and annual as appropriate Whole series revised annually
ResultsHouse Price IndexRoS House Price StatisticsRoS Small Area Statistics
Volume of sales Yes Yes Yes
House types Yes Yes No
Cash sales Yes Calendar and financial year No
New builds   Calendar and financial year No
First time buyers identified Yes No No
Quartiles No Yes – quarterly and annually Yes
Deciles No Financial year No
Geographies UK, Scotland, and LA Scotland and LA monthly; urban and rural annually Scotland, LA, Scottish Parliamentary Constituency, Health Boards, Electoral wards, Data zones and Intermediate zones

Average prices

Line graph showing vg house price in Scotland - HPI vs RoS monthly house price statistics 2004 to 2024

Line graph showing Percentage difference between the HPI monthly house price statistics January 2004 to April 2024

The average price trends when comparing the HPI with RoS house price statistics are very similar. RoS data is based on the date of registration, while the HPI is based on the date of entry. Registration can occur up to several weeks after the date of entry. In 2022 the date of registration was on average 19 days after the date of entry.

Typically, the arithmetic mean will lead to a higher average price than other measures. Due to the distribution of residential property prices, the arithmetic mean can be influenced by the sale of a few high value properties. The geometric mean will typically be closer to the median than the arithmetic mean.

The HPI monthly figures are smoother than the RoS monthly house price statistics, again because of the different methodologies used. The HPI figures are mix adjusted, while the RoS house price statistics are unadjusted, which means the RoS figures are more prone to fluctuations in the market, for example if a high number of high or low-value sales are registered within a particular month.

Volumes

There are slight differences in the volumes being presented because the RoS data is based on date of registration, while the HPI is based on date of entry. RoS volumes, when used for arithmetic means, excludes any sales below £20,000 and above £1,000,000. The HPI methodology does not apply price limits but excludes outliers. When medians are used all market value sales are included.


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